Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #47
New Haven Semi-State Rank #14
West Noble Regional Rank #4
Northrop Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 1.6%
Advance to Semi-State 80.9%
Advance to Regional 99.2%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington Invitational Marion Invitational Nothrop Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 584 556 696 549 587 651 575 596 581
Team Adjusted Rating 520 626 549 587 651 575 596 581
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington Invitational Marion Invitational Nothrop Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
151  Blake Nietert 12 16:52 16:57 17:02 17:12 16:42 17:06 17:08 16:57 16:53 16:43
277  Aidan Borbiev 9 17:14 17:15 17:08 17:22 16:57 17:36 17:09
391  Elijah Silcox 11 17:30 17:44 17:13 17:35 17:21 17:19 18:04 17:32 17:25 17:35
548  Jacob Blackburn 12 17:48 17:37 17:41 17:59 17:48 17:47 17:48 17:47 17:49 17:49
630  Jacob Kieffer 12 17:56 17:52 17:40 17:53 17:54 18:06 17:53 18:00 17:47 18:14
673  Sawyer Mattocks 12 18:01 18:31 17:50 18:08 17:52 18:04 18:02 18:15 17:57 17:59
748  Charles Basham 11 18:08 17:23 18:07 17:48 18:14 18:01 18:14 18:31 18:15
1,028  Evan Yoder 9 18:31 18:32 19:23 18:22 18:19
1,030  Zaraab Habib 9 18:31 18:30 18:13 19:29 18:35 18:18
1,045  Antonio Uncheselu 10 18:32 17:59 18:13 18:13 19:15 18:39 18:32
1,155  Tyler Beuchel 11 18:41 18:38 18:21 19:04 18:17 18:58
1,307  Grayson Hobbick 9 18:52 19:44 18:43 19:38 18:42 18:30
1,355  Will LeCoque 9 18:56 19:23 19:32 18:46 18:37
E.J. Ellingson 10 19:22 18:19 19:03 19:32 19:19 18:44 20:48
Will Bridgwater 12 19:25 18:50 19:37 19:33
Brant Dietrich 11 19:40 19:05 19:07 19:21 19:57 20:01




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 1.6% 21.8 526 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4
Semi-State 80.9% 10.9 301 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 6.7 7.6 9.4 10.8 11.1 10.0 9.2 7.4 5.0 2.1 0.0
Regionals 99.2% 3.9 123 0.8 22.0 25.1 19.7 13.3 8.7 5.9 2.7 0.9 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.1 93 1.0 29.4 38.4 26.6 3.8 0.8 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Blake Nietert 5.9% 97.4 4.3% 5.1%
Aidan Borbiev 1.6% 123.0 0.0% 0.1%
Elijah Silcox 1.6% 149.9 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Blackburn 1.6% 173.8 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Kieffer 1.6% 181.1 0.0% 0.0%
Sawyer Mattocks 1.6% 184.6 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Basham 1.6% 189.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Blake Nietert 98.4% 36.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.8 2.6 91.5% 96.4%
Aidan Borbiev 82.5% 65.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6% 41.5%
Elijah Silcox 80.9% 88.2 0.0 0.0% 7.4%
Jacob Blackburn 80.9% 110.8 0.0% 0.2%
Jacob Kieffer 80.9% 120.5 0.0% 0.1%
Sawyer Mattocks 80.9% 126.8 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Basham 80.9% 135.2 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Blake Nietert 100% 10.2 0.2 1.6 3.3 4.0 5.4 6.8 8.7 8.6 9.2 9.1 8.2 7.9 6.5 5.2 4.1 2.9 2.1 1.9 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Aidan Borbiev 100% 20.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.3 2.7 3.4 4.3 5.0 5.6 6.2 6.5 6.3 6.6 6.5 6.1 5.1 4.8 100.0% 100.0%
Elijah Silcox 100% 30.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.5 2.9 3.6 3.6 4.3 100.0% 100.0%
Jacob Blackburn 99.8% 43.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 71.8% 99.2%
Jacob Kieffer 99.5% 49.6 0.0 0.1 35.3% 96.9%
Sawyer Mattocks 99.3% 53.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9% 92.7%
Charles Basham 99.2% 58.5 2.4% 82.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Blake Nietert 5.9 0.4 3.2 7.3 11.2 13.9 15.2 14.6 11.5 8.5 5.4 3.9 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Aidan Borbiev 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.0 5.3 7.2 9.3 10.6 10.7 10.7 9.2 7.9 6.3 5.1 4.0 3.1 2.2 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1
Elijah Silcox 18.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.9 3.4 4.6 5.4 7.0 8.4 8.4 8.7 9.1 9.0 7.9 6.8 5.1 3.8 2.9
Jacob Blackburn 25.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.7 4.8 6.4 7.3 7.6 7.8
Jacob Kieffer 29.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.6 3.5 4.3 5.1
Sawyer Mattocks 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.6
Charles Basham 35.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9